I'm not sure who Gartner talks to when it puts together its famous "Hype Cycle" reports, but I'm finding it hard to believe that it talks with enterprises. I was recently reading through its "Hype Cycle for Open-Source Software, 2007" report, and was astounded to find out that I've been tricked by paying customers into believing that they were, well, paying.
To wit, Gartner suggests that we're years away from enterprise adoption of the following open-source software categories:Content management (5-10 years); Enterprise Service Bus (5-10 years); J2EE Application Servers (2-5 years); and IP Telephony (2-5 years).
Does "mainstream" mean that everyone has already bought it? Or does it mean that a wide cross-section of the market is adopting it, and not merely the proverbial "early adopters"?
If the latter, I heartily disagree with Gartner.… Read more